It is difficult to rhyme the S&P with the TSE, they seemed to be a little out of phase with each other. In the S&P the last leg down looks more like a new wave down whereas in the TSE the idea of a B-wave seems more plausible regardless of the appearance of 5-waves down, Certainly the possibility of the action over the last few days being a wedge (has to be a c ) would make that imperative. Even so the wedge may be a simple a-b-c as well so I would not dwell too long on this. Here the important thing is that whatever the pattern in either the S&P or the TSE, we are at the cusp of a big down-leg.
TSE
TSE update Feb 8, 2010.
This gets pretty tricky as quite a few possibilities exist for the TSE (does not matter for the overall direction). The idea of a large a-b-c correction has to be discarded on the grounds that the b-wave has 5-waves internally and that just cannot be, so the preference at this stage goes to a 1-2, 1-2 scenario, which makes a lot more sense if you look at the Dow Jones (and the S&P, not shown), on the right. Today’s stellar performance supposedly has something to do with Mr. Trichet, the head of the European central bank, getting on a plane on his way to “solve” the Greek problem – a news bite that nobody yet knows what it means and presumable could be reversed on equally flimsy grounds.
TSE Feb 6 2010.
The original idea that this may develop as a b-wave, as shown yesterday, may not be correct. B-waves are 3-waves not 5-waves and unless I am blind this is a 5-wave move. Ergo the possibility has to be entertained that this is wave one of the next leg (a small 3d wave.) If correct there is just a little more upside on Monday as we now have seen so often and then a virtual crash for the next leg. This is very tricky but very possible!
TSE Feb4,2010
Either the TSE has completed the entire rebound by doing the very minimum and is now beginning the next which will get nastier soon, or we have a b-wave and will shoot back up and only then start the serious drop. I have no idea but one thing is clear and that is that gold by dropping more than $45 in the morning is clearly losing its luster.