This is what it should look like (as a minimum).

You should be long this stock, so where do you exit? My guess at this point is that in the worst case we are in an a wave that could rise to about $18,54 (50 day moving average), followed by a b and then a c perhaps towards $22, a minor 4th wave of previous degree. This morning the stock should get to that initial level of $18,54. If you wish to play it safe take the $3 profit – almost 20% – and run, or, alternatively try the trade a second time.

This stock has been crashing for the better part of two years. A rebound of a week or two is way too short. That is, of course, if the stock actually bottomed. There are a few reasons to believe it did (for the time being). Clearly there are 5 waves down if you care to see them. Also looking at CEF.A, G, and FNV support for this view exists for different reasons ;

All have slightly different patterns but all COULD be viewed as having (temporarily?) bottomed. See also previous blogs on these miners. If correct it should pay of to wait for about $22 on ABX. If, like Bernanke, you too do not understand gold, there is always the stop-loss!

P.S. My math early in the morning is not that hot. The profit would be about $4, which on $14.5 is about 27%.

We now have an absolutely perfect count, the RSI and MACD have turned and just about everyone is calling for the stock to go bankrupt soon.

We got our 4th wave and should be hitting bottom in the next few days as one last 5th of a 5th is traced out. Just a guess would suggest something in the order of $16.50 or so. Note that both the RSI and MACD are pointing up. The yield, by the way, at 4.70% is unheard of for a gold miner. The stock is down about 70% from its peak. A buy (but maybe just for a good trade, we shall see).