Laurentian Bank

laurentian Bank 2020 4 21

The 2009 low for this bank was around $23 or so. We may go there again.

Using the gap-in-the-middle convention, if there is such a thing, than that and the proposed wave count suggest that as a target for this stock. Keep in mind that this is the Laurentian Bank presumable because much of its business is conducted in, you guessed it, the Laurentians, a district in Quebec that is very much geared to tourism and skiing. Both are quite vulnerable now with the virus.

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Should this actually happen than we would have a very symmetric A-B-C correction from the highs of around $63 about 2 1/2 years ago.

Shop update


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So we made a slight new high, perfection was never the goal, so here is my take again after $945. This is but one of many possibilities. This graph is linear and not semi-log and that may lead you to believe that wave 3 is much smaller than wave 5, it is not. Wave 5 is, potentially, a 5th wave ending diagonal which should normally retrace back to the base, just a little above $150, but we cannot be sure of the count. So it might be wiser to focus on the triangle wave 4 of 5. That promises a return to $400. As usual, time will tell.

OIL

2020-04-20 14_39_48-Crude Oil Futures Quotes - CME Group

Interesting that trading futures can be a very VERY risky business. Obviously this does not represent the price of oil, WTI, which is still around $20/b but it does illustrate the risk of playing with this stuff if you do not understand it. The first time I “did” oil futures I did not realize the contract was for 1000 barrels at a shot! Nor did my client. I ended up absorbing the trade in my own account (technically a no- no) but fortunately it did not cost me much..

Anyway if you were bullish on this stuff and bought your first 2 lot on Trumps advice, at say $25, you are now in the whole about $60, that is 2x $60,000 or $120,000.  thank you. I am sure few people contemplated this reality. More on futures later.