Could this possible be a triangle? If so is it in a b-wave or a wave 4??  Perhaps this is the Clinton-Trump fight displayed in the stock market. By the way, if the market is down the month of October there is, statistically , an 88% probability that Trump would win and visa versa. The next utterly useless debate is this Sunday. Fasten your seatbelts. For the moment, EW favours the downside but as with all triangles you never know!

Keep in mind that Brexit got through just because Boris felt he could behave as an ass in order to further his own career, he really did not mean to go that far. Anything is possible.