Hamilton's E-Wave Analysis

SLW, Silver Wheaton Corp. update

We have had bullish and bearish outlooks on this stock, neither were necessarily correct. It is very elusive so here is another go at it;

From the 2001 lows in the precious metals, this stock has risen like a meteor  in what any reasonable person eyeballing this chart would call a 3-wave move. Which either means that it is simple a large , corrective B-wave and we will continue down, or, that the 5-wave up sequence is not yet complete and we are just now starting the 5th wave which targets $60 or higher. So far the low point of wave 4 touches the high point of wave one, so there is no overlap. Un till that does happen, this bullish count remains valid and even if it does, a diagonal could still be a possibility.  Alternation is lacking , perhaps, but that is in any case not an absolute requirement. But even so wave 2 is steep zig-zag down whereas wave 4 is more like a sideways flat.

So, to repeat, this is either a wave 4, a-b-c (with 3 subsets of a-b-c’s within it, remember a c always has to have 5 waves) and we are on the way up, or will get bigger and we are presently in wave 4 of c. Overlap for that occurs at $34. Presently the rebound from the recent lows is very decidedly itself a symmetric a-b-c , as is the case with virtually all the mining stocks, but this can change. In short the bullish scenario is negated with a drop below $18 and, more or less, confirmed with a rise above $34. This stock , by the way, does not suffer from the usual stock specific idiosyncrasies like most minors, it just collects royalties.

See previous blogs for earlier bullish calls.