BAM.A , Brookfield Asset Management

bam.a feb 17 2013bam.a feb 2013 s

There are a few “Brookfields” around so it can get confusing. This is not the real estate arm. As is so often the case in Canada , and elsewhere for that matter, the glory days for this stock were concentrated in a short 5-year time span. The banks had similar periods about 5 to 7 years earlier. Wealth management is  late to come to the table and is essentially just an euphemism  for the activities brokers engage in, previously referred to by some detractors as burn and churn, but with a somewhat broader base and a little more varnish. More fountain pens and sextants, yachts and so on in the brochures.

After dropping a good 2/3 this stock is fighting it’s way back up. Another $6/7 and it will double top. Given the distinct 5-wave sequence in the c wave of B, we doubt very much that it will get there. We would sell and be grateful for our good fortunes.

 

If you were thinking about that other Brookfield (Residential Properties) we would also sell;

brp feb 18 2013

Those of you that have a little grey hair, or none at all , may remember these companies better by the name Brascan, an underperforming conglomerate which also had extensive mining operations.

AEM, Agnico Eagle update

aem feb 16 2013

We did not anticipate the overlap, but otherwise this stock is progressing down according to the script. There may not be overlap if wave 2 was highly irregular, but that is academic now. We will assume that it is going down in a large wedge wave C. Most times the stock does not go to the trend line, but it could. It should , however make a new low, that is below $27. A wild guess right now would be something like $15. If you are long this stock, or any other big ones like ABX or G, as a hedge against inflation it clearly is not working and it does not look like it will in the immediate future. Deflation, not  inflation is the coming problem.

ECA, Encana update.

eca feb 16 2013eca feb 16 2013 s

 

Encana has traced out very nice EW patterns (see previous blogs). It also climbed Mnt.Everest (the stock split since then), and is now coming down the mountain. This is usually more painful than going up, if only for the simple reason that most investors simple will not even contemplate the short side. So where will it stop? Anywhere between here and zero is the correct, but rather useless answer. First and foremost it should make a new low, that is trade below roughly $17. Next , very often, waves 5 and 1 are equal which would suggest about $13. This is also very close to the top of wave 1 on the way up, a fairly common relationship where there is an extended wave. Then there is the trend line at about $9.

There is no way of telling which level might prove to be the low other than monitoring the progress of this 5 wave of C and keeping our eyes glued to the RSI and MACD. For the moment the guess is $13.(see blog of 20 June 2011, below).

eca june 20 2011 b

SSF, you can set your clock to this, see previous blog.

SEAFIELD REPORTS UPDATED METALLURGICAL RESULTS AND HIGH GOLD RECOVERY RATES AT MIRAFLORES, COLOMBIA

Friday, February 15, 2013

Click here to view PDF

Toronto, Ontario, February 15, 2013 – Seafield Resources Ltd. (“Seafield” or “the Company”) (TSX-V: SFF) is pleased to report preliminary metallurgical test results of an extensive metallurgical development program for its gold-silver Miraflores Deposit, Quinchía, Colombia, presently underway at Inspectorate Exploration and Mining Services Ltd. (“Inspectorate”), located in Richmond, BC, Canada. This study program was designed and is being supervised by SRK Consulting in Denver (“SRK”) on behalf of Seafield.