TXN , Texas Instruments

Just in case you bought the wrong one, here is the EW take on it;

txn dec 24 2012

Like all tech. stocks this one has been struggling for years to regain at least a portion of its 2000 losses. Looking for symmetry tells us that the stock could still work its way up to about $40 over the next two or so months. At that level it would have regained about 40% of those losses and have completed a nicely balanced A-B-C for the counter-trend rebound. After that it is probable on to about $10. Here is a more detailed look at the triangle in the C leg.

txn dec 24 2012 s

If it is a triangle (there are grounds for some concern, i.e. possible overlap) then wave e still has to form itself. It need not go all the way to the line but should in any event reach about $29. Should you buy it there do put in a stop at $26. Triangles can be deceptive, often they are not what you think and when they are not the most likely alternative is a series of 1-2s and the next thing is a waterfall down!. The risk /reward is still about 1 to 4.

TXI, Texas Industries Inc.

TXI dec 24 2012txi 24 dec 2012 s

They are in building materials and fixtures, not to be confused with Texas Instruments (TXN). The P/E is a modest 116 and 13.4% of stock is held in short positions. The area within the blue rectangle was in one of our major financial newspapers (Dec.22). The call is for the stock to rise to $54 or $59 on the basis of point and figure charts, but considering the long trading range between the blue horizontal lines the stock could go a lot higher. As it makes little sense to recommend a stock that has already traded at $52 if the target is only $54, presumable there is confidence that the stock does indeed go a lot higher. This outlook is negated only with a decline below $40/41.

On an EW basis the stock could go to the upper trend line of the C in the larger B, at $55 max, but thereafter it should be downhill. The RSI and MACD also support this view. Time will tell.

PSN update

Then and now;

psn nov 15 2012.psn dec 22 2012

The 4th wave did not get quite as high as thought. It did not enter the gap area at all. Anyway now the 5th seems to be complete after hitting a low of $2.74

Now that the stock has dropped from $16 to <$3, our analysts are a little more optimistic than they were the first day after the drop, but not by much, on average they are now a hold instead of underperform. The company is going to “vigorously” defend itself against a lawsuit whatever that means. We would leave it alone but definitely would not sell it here. A good bounce is overdue.

PSN analysts dec 22