The left is then, exactly a year ago, the right is now. The pattern last year was that of a developing contracting diagonal triangle, in English a wedge. Highly reliable and precise and they tell you the whole thing is over, at least for a while as these always occur in 5th wave position. A slight error was made then in assuming that wave 4 was complete. It was not and consequently the wedge is less pointed than first thought. The target was $56 and that is where it went, albeit in a roundabout way.
The way down was a little more difficult which is why , at one point (see prev. blog) it was good to stand aside ( you would have been out or short in any event!) just in case overlap would occur and negate the bearish outlook. No overlap occurred (waves 2 and 4 of 3 may have touched briefly). With that the bearish outlook is back in full force. We should be in 5 of 3 (assuming 4 is complete, which remains to be seen). Then we need at least another 4 and 5. Ultimately $20 (a 4th wave of prev. degree) is certainly not out of the question.