TRE, Sino Forest

tre july 26 2011

BigCharts shows better. Wave 3 of the drop, invariable the one with the big gap, is rather easy to identify especially since the gap is pretty well in the middle. This , however, leaves the possibility that the 5-wave sequence is not yet complete as there is at least one, if not two, waves before wave 3 starts. This leaves the possibility that we are presently in a 4th wave. One can never be certain but the up move from the lows very definitely looks like an a-b-c. If you did buy , as advised, and are still holding it, I would sell at about $8.30 if it gets there, otherwise use a stop-loss at , say, $6.45, just under today’s low.

TRE, Sino Forest update

TRE MAY8 2010 TRE june 24 2011  TRE june 14 2011 TRE July 4 2011

These are some of the old recommendations, click on charts  and they will get larger. You can also find the entire blogs by going to the index. We recommended a sell at about $5 simple because that was a huge gain in a very short time and because an a-b-c correction could have been complete at that time. It did drop 50% from there so what is going on now?

tre july 2011

When a stock drops in a 5 wave sequence one should expect a A-B-C correction, this can be simple or complex. We did the A from a $1.29 low to $5.30 or $4,01. Then wave B cut that in half to $3.36. B should continue up to $8.37 where C=A ( 3.36 + 4.01 = 8.37). The gap starts at $ 8.53 so it may try that as well.  Ultimately higher levels are certainly possible. $13.57 would close the gap and that is just a 50% retracement but all this is pure speculation. Stick to the sure stuff.

“ that having been said ” , “ looking forward ” etc.etc.

I remember  that the phrase  “having said that” etc etc followed by the contrast was pretty normal. That having been said – is barely normal and even if English is my 3d language , I suspect that this is grammatical nonsense, yet you hear it all the time.

At the University College of Dublin, two computer scientists did a linguistic analysis and found that “herding” has its linguistic counterpart in that “You get verb and noun convergence as the market goes up because there is more agreement “. Apparently the correlation was quite accurate. Next time you hear -  kick the can down the road , looking forward , eclectic , or just simple, gold is going up – maybe it is time to pack up.

This was presented at the International Conference of Artificial Intelligence in Barcelona. That it was artificial is redundant.