CL, Colgate getting there.

Then                                                                   and    now ;

cl may 2011s cl june 2011 2

Now that we have a little more detail it is starting to look like the ultimate target is about $92. Presently the stock is at about $89 and change , so another $3 to go. On the options that should reduce the price by about $1.50 to $5.70 bid/$6.70 ask, approximately where we anticipated it to be a while ago;

CL options june

Once again I do not for a moment pretend that this is the option that one should chose; all choices throughout the range of strike and time should be priced accordingly.

EEM (and XEM), Emerging markets

eem june 2011

Back in January it was anticipated that this ETF would not trade above roughly $50. So  far at least it has not. The pattern is fairly clear. An a-b-c in which the b is a very nice expanding triangle. The c wave travelled about 60% of the a –wave ( normal) and peaks at the appropriate time. Emerging markets are always the last investments to turn, if for no other reason than that no one really knows what is in them. The possibility of one more high is quite remote as it stands, so it should be high time to reduce one’s exposure.