GE update March 11

GE march 11

If you own GE (you should as it traded well under $7/8 ) where to sell. Moving average (50-day) and trend-line are around $12. $10 would give you the proverbial 30%. The opening indication is just above $9 but the RSI is nowhere near the 50%= level that it typically returns to. On previous occasions it managed to do about $7 so from a low of $5.88 that would put it again at $12/$13.

By the way, GE might as well be a bank, see below correlation with S&P Financials

ge s&p fin

RY update March 11 (see RY Feb 19)

If you are still long the stock as per previous comments it is time to “calibrate” the trade, remember all we want is the sure part,not the gamble. Here is the chart.

RY March 10

 

Today’s 15% rise in the stock was almost predicable , if not in magnitude at least in direction,considering the comments yesterday on cutting dividends, see C. When a stock hits a bottom  predicted at $26, it should turn and initially you have no idea if it was a minor low, or THE low or whatever. Only with hindsight that becomes clear so what you look for is the absolute minimum that the stock has to do. Regardless of whether a new bull market has started or whether there is just a correction the first 3 legs are always the same and KNOWN. In this case the  a-leg was from 26 to 32 (about 6), the b-leg took back about half of that to about 29, now the c- leg should add 6 which brings us to roughly 35. There you should sell. Not only have you earned 34% (more than 30%) but from that point you simple do not know what is going to happen, otherwise known as gambling. There is always another train.

By the way, I think the stock can go much higher but the point is that that is not the point.

C March 10, a call option with undetermined maturity.

Citi

No idea what the exact count is, in any case it does not matter as we are a dollar away from ground level. Suffice it to say the the last leg down has a total of 9 legs and could therefore be complete. After Warren Buffett’s “over the cliff” comments and RBC DS’ sudden awakening to the banks’ predicament and even suggesting that it might be good to cut dividends, it may just be time to go long. This, at about one dollar, is an option with an undetermined expiry. Furthermore it is at the money and has a 100% (not 50%) delta. You broker does not need to be option licensed ,nor does your account need to be set up for it. Paradise??